社団法人 日本ショッピングセンター協会

Outlook

This August, sales of previously established shopping centers remained positive for a second consecutive month with 0.3 % when compared with figures for the same month last year.

This overall small sales increase was realized thanks to a shift towards moderately positive sales of essential necessities including food stuffs and this month having one more Saturday and Sunday than the same month last year whereby sales increases among tenants covered negative sales results among anchor tenants.

However, a gradually increasing number of reluctant consumers with an eye on rising commodity prices, in addition to continuing high gasoline prices mean that similarly to last month, sales of goods other than life necessities remain dull.

There were also many SC recording a smaller than usual number of customers due to the high gasoline prices mentioned above and unexpected heavy rains.

Notes

＊This survey has been compiled from information obtained after sampling 1,000 SC according to location and size from among 2,804 SC - the total number of SC at the end of December 2007.
＊This survey is based on the 572 SC samples obtained, the sample retrieval rate being 57.2%.
＊(Estimated) total sales of SC for August have been computed based on the total number of 2,842 SC in existence at the end of July 2008.

Change of Total Sales of Shopping Centers, Depart-ment Stores and Chain Stores compared with previous year

Term/Year/month (Number of SC)			S　　　　　C			Department Stores	Chain Stores
			Previously Established SC
			Total of SC	Tenants	Anchor Tenants
Year	2000	(185)	-3.4	-3.1	-3.7	-2.2	-5.1
	2001	(255)	-2.2	-1.4	-3.3	-0.4	-5.2
	2002	(328)	-2.1	-2.1	-2.1	-2.3	-2.1
	2003	(462)	-1.6	-0.8	-2.4	-2.8	-3.2
	2004	(522)	-1.7	-0.9	-2.9	-2.8	-3.5
	2005	(550)	0.3	1.5	-1.9	-0.2	-2.6
	2006	(523)	0.3	0.9	-0.7	-0.7	-2.7
	2007	(515)	-0.0	0.3	-0.6	-0.5	-1.4
2008	Jan.～Mar.	(557)	1.1	1.2	0.8	-1.0	0.4
	Apr.～Jun.	(553)	-2.7	-2.8	-2.5	-4.6	-0.9
Month 2007	Jan.	(600)	1.3	1.8	0.2	0.0	-2.4
	Feb.	(600)	1.3	1.7	0.5	1.7	-1.6
	Mar.	(572)	-1.2	-1.2	-1.0	-1.5	-1.5
	Apr.	(575)	-1.1	-0.8	-1.7	-1.3	-1.0
	May.	(556)	0.2	0.5	-0.4	-0.4	-0.6
	Jun.	(570)	2.4	3.9	-0.1	5.5	-1.5
	Jul.	(568)	-4.2	-4.4	-3.9	-4.3	-2.8
	Aug.	(570)	0.5	0.6	0.4	1.4	-0.5
	Sep.	(569)	-0.8	-0.5	-1.2	-2.5	-1.0
	Oct.	(556)	0.0	-0.1	0.3	-1.4	-1.1
	Nov.	(590)	0.7	1.1	0.0	0.9	-0.4
	Dec.	(591)	-0.8	-0.7	-1.0	-2.3	-1.8
Month 2008	Jan.	(592)	0.0	0.3	-0.5	-2.1	-1.7
	Feb.	(585)	0.8	0.4	1.4	0.9	1.9
	Mar.	(587)	2.3	2.6	1.6	-1.2	1.4
	Apr.	(575)	-2.5	-3.0	-1.5	-3.4	-0.8
	May.	(581)	-2.3	-2.1	-2.6	-2.7	-1.1
	Jun.	(592)	-2.9	-2.7	-3.1	-7.6	-0.9
	Jul.	(585)	0.3	0.2	0.5	-2.5	0.9
	Aug.	(572)	0.3	1.5	-2.1	-3.1	-1.0
Source			Japan Council of Shopping Centers			Japan Department Stores Association	Japan Chain Stores Association

【comment】
Sales of anchor tenants slid into the red again with -2.1%.
Although sales in the food and sundries department tended to be moderately positive, others were negative.
However sales of tenants remained positive for a second consecutive month with 1.5%.
Sales of casual clothes were moderately good.

 

Rate of Expansion in Sales of SC by Location and Type of Constituent member of SC

Constituent member of SC Location (Number of SC)			Total	Tenants	Anchor Tenants
Total		(572)	0.3	1.5	-2.1
Central Areas	Large Cities	(76)	2.0	2.1	0.2
	Medium Cities	(86)	0.2	0.9	-1.3
	Small Cities	(29)	-2.1	-0.5	-4.1
	Sub Total	(191)	0.9	1.5	-1.8
Peripheral Areas		(143)	-0.6	0.1	-2.3
Suburban Areas		(238)	0.3	2.3	-2.1

【comment】
Sales in central areas of big cities performed favorably with a 2.0% increase.
From mid-August temperatures dropped, bringing out the first early autumn goods and favorably affecting sales in station building SC and the like.

(notes)

■Size of City
Large Cities ： Cities designated by government ordinance (Sapporo, Sendai, Chiba, Tokyo metropolis, Kawasaki, Yokohama, Nagoya, Kyoto, Osaka, Kobe, Hiroshima, Fukuoka, Kitakyushu)
Medium Cities ：Cities that have a population of more than 150,000, excluding above‐mentioned cities
Small Cities ：Cities that have a population of under 150,000

■Location （Divided by administrative district, but the explanation for area is tentative.）
Central Areas ：Central cities that are accumulated by commercial function of cities, towns, villages concerned
Peripheral Areas ：Areas that are around central areas and city function of commerce, administration, business, etc. exist moderately
Suburban Areas ：Areas that are in the suburbs and residential areas, farmlands, etc. are spread out

 

Rate of Expansion in Sales of SC by Location and Region

Region Location (Number of SC)		Total	Hokkaido	Tohoku	Kanto	Chubu	Hokuriku	kinki	Chugoku	Shikoku	Kyusyu・ Okinawa
Total	(572)	0.3	1.8	1.0	-0.3	3.4	-2.5	0.5	-1.6	-2.0	1.1
Central Areas	(191)	0.9	0.9	5.4	-0.3	2.6	-0.3	1.9	1.5	0.1	1.5
Peripheral Areas	(143)	-0.6	2.9	-3.2	-0.7	-0.1	4.1	-1.1	2.9	-10.4	-1.6
Suburban Areas	(238)	0.3	1.3	-0.3	-0.1	4.5	-4.5	0.3	-4.0	-1.4	2.5
Number of SC		572	16	33	192	59	49	129	29	15	50

【comment】
Although sales in Chubu regions boasted the largest rise with 3.4%, other regions such as Hokkaido, Tohoku, Kyushu and Okinawa also remained positive for a second consecutive month.
Many SC claimed the good weather as a favorable factor. Noteworthy were Okinawa and Amami-Oshima which, for the period since 1946, recorded the next smallest precipitation after the 1993 August.

(notes)

■Region
Hokkaido ：　Hokkaido　
Tohoku ：　Aomori, Iwate, Miyagi, Akita, Yamagata and Fukushima Prefecture　
Kanto ：　Ibaraki, Tochigi, Gumma,Saitama and Chiba Prefecture, Tokyo metropolis, Kanagawa and Yamanashi Prefecture
Chubu ：　Nagano, Gifu, Shizuoka, Aichi and Mie Prefecture
Hokuriku ：　Niigata, Toyama, Ishikawa and Fukui Prefecture
Kinki ：　Shiga, Kyoto, Osaka, Hyogo, Nara and Wakayama Prefecture
Chugoku ：　Tottori, Shimane, Okayama, Hiroshima and Yamaguchi Prefecture
Shikoku ：　Tokushima, Kagawa, Ehime and Kochi Prefecture
Kyusyu･Okinawa ：　Fukuoka, Saga, Nagasaki, Kumamoto, Oita, Miyazaki, Kagoshima and Okinawa Prefecture

Reference:
Contact below for any inquires in respect of the Survey.
Mr. Kotaro Zenpo of the Research Department
e‐mail address: zenpoh@jcsc.or.jp

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