社団法人 日本ショッピングセンター協会

Outlook

This July, sales of previously established shopping centers rose for the first time in four months with 0.3 % when compared with figures for the same month last year.
This positive trend was brought about by a large number of shopping centers starting their summer sales in July this year, also helped by a nationwide heat wave turning sales of seasonable goods profitable again.
Several SC sought to recoup customers by launching gasoline discount ticket campaigns in answer to the increasing number of motorists kept away by high fuel prices.
But with consumers remaining cautious about future price fluctuations and limiting their purchases to essential necessities, it was finally left to the summer sales gains to boost overall sales figures.

Notes

＊This survey has been compiled from information obtained after sampling 1,000 SC according to location and size from among 2,804 SC - the total number of SC at the end of December 2007.
＊This survey is based on the 585 SC samples obtained, the sample retrieval rate being 58.5%.
＊(Estimated) total sales of SC for July have been computed based on the total number of 2,839 SC in existence at the end of June 2008.

Change of Total Sales of Shopping Centers, Depart-ment Stores and Chain Stores compared with previous year

Term/Year/month (Number of SC)			S　　　　　C			Department Stores	Chain Stores
			Previously Established SC
			Total of SC	Tenants	Anchor Tenants
Year	2000	(185)	-3.4	-3.1	-3.7	-2.2	-5.1
	2001	(255)	-2.2	-1.4	-3.3	-0.4	-5.2
	2002	(328)	-2.1	-2.1	-2.1	-2.3	-2.1
	2003	(462)	-1.6	-0.8	-2.4	-2.8	-3.2
	2004	(522)	-1.7	-0.9	-2.9	-2.8	-3.5
	2005	(550)	0.3	1.5	-1.9	-0.2	-2.6
	2006	(523)	0.3	0.9	-0.7	-0.7	-2.7
	2007	(515)	-0.0	0.3	-0.6	-0.5	-1.4
2008	Jan.～Mar.	(557)	1.1	1.2	0.8	-1.0	0.4
	Apr.～Jun.	(553)	-2.7	-2.8	-2.5	-4.6	-0.9
Month 2007	Jan.	(600)	1.3	1.8	0.2	0.0	-2.4
	Feb.	(600)	1.3	1.7	0.5	1.7	-1.6
	Mar.	(572)	-1.2	-1.2	-1.0	-1.5	-1.5
	Apr.	(575)	-1.1	-0.8	-1.7	-1.3	-1.0
	May.	(556)	0.2	0.5	-0.4	-0.4	-0.6
	Jun.	(570)	2.4	3.9	-0.1	5.5	-1.5
	Jul.	(568)	-4.2	-4.4	-3.9	-4.3	-2.8
	Aug.	(570)	0.5	0.6	0.4	1.4	-0.5
	Sep.	(569)	-0.8	-0.5	-1.2	-2.5	-1.0
	Oct.	(556)	0.0	-0.1	0.3	-1.4	-1.1
	Nov.	(590)	0.7	1.1	0.0	0.9	-0.4
	Dec.	(591)	-0.8	-0.7	-1.0	-2.3	-1.8
Month 2008	Jan.	(592)	0.0	0.3	-0.5	-2.1	-1.7
	Feb.	(585)	0.8	0.4	1.4	0.9	1.9
	Mar.	(587)	2.3	2.6	1.6	-1.2	1.4
	Apr.	(575)	-2.5	-3.0	-1.5	-3.4	-0.8
	May.	(581)	-2.3	-2.1	-2.6	-2.7	-1.1
	Jun.	(592)	-2.9	-2.7	-3.1	-7.6	-0.9
	Jul.	(585)	0.3	0.2	0.5	-2.5	0.9
Source			Japan Council of Shopping Centers			Japan Department Stores Association	Japan Chain Stores Association

【comment】
Both sales of anchor tenants (0.5%) and tenants　(0.2%) were positive.
Similarly to last month, business conditions among tenants dealing in food and sundries tended to be moderately positive.
As for the clothing sector, sales of PB and well-established goods were positive.

 

Rate of Expansion in Sales of SC by Location and Type of Constituent member of SC

Constituent member of SC Location (Number of SC)			Total	Tenants	Anchor Tenants
Total		(585)	0.3	0.2	0.5
Central Areas	Large Cities	(78)	1.3	1.2	2.0
	Medium Cities	(86)	-0.3	-0.5	0.0
	Small Cities	(35)	-0.3	-2.2	2.2
	Sub Total	(199)	0.5	0.5	0.6
Peripheral Areas		(146)	0.9	1.2	0.3
Suburban Areas		(240)	-0.2	-0.9	0.6

【comment】
Sales in central areas rose by 1.3%, in peripheral areas by 0.9%. This translates into a 5.2 points and 2.7 points recovery over last month.
Summer sales and events in SC such as station buildings turned relatively favorable.

(notes)

■Size of City
Large Cities ： Cities designated by government ordinance (Sapporo, Sendai, Chiba, Tokyo metropolis, Kawasaki, Yokohama, Nagoya, Kyoto, Osaka, Kobe, Hiroshima, Fukuoka, Kitakyushu)
Medium Cities ：Cities that have a population of more than 150,000, excluding above‐mentioned cities
Small Cities ：Cities that have a population of under 150,000

■Location （Divided by administrative district, but the explanation for area is tentative.）
Central Areas ：Central cities that are accumulated by commercial function of cities, towns, villages concerned
Peripheral Areas ：Areas that are around central areas and city function of commerce, administration, business, etc. exist moderately
Suburban Areas ：Areas that are in the suburbs and residential areas, farmlands, etc. are spread out

 

Rate of Expansion in Sales of SC by Location and Region

Region Location (Number of SC)		Total	Hokkaido	Tohoku	Kanto	Chubu	Hokuriku	kinki	Chugoku	Shikoku	Kyusyu・ Okinawa
Total	(585)	0.3	2.0	1.0	1.2	0.9	-1.6	-1.3	-5.7	1.0	3.0
Central Areas	(199)	0.5	3.7	3.5	1.4	0.0	-0.7	-1.8	-6.3	-0.8	3.8
Peripheral Areas	(146)	0.9	3.5	-0.7	2.2	1.3	1.7	-1.7	0.6	-10.2	-1.0
Suburban Areas	(240)	-0.2	-7.8	-0.1	-0.1	1.4	-2.6	-0.9	-5.8	4.5	4.6
Number of SC		585	17	33	200	61	49	130	29	15	51

【comment】
Although sales in Hokkaido regions boasted a large rise with 2.0%, the gap between growth rates in central areas (3.7%) and suburban areas (-7.8%) proved remarkable. This highlights the effect caused by an increasing number of consumers abandoning their car due to soaring fuel prices.

(notes)

■Region
Hokkaido ：　Hokkaido　
Tohoku ：　Aomori, Iwate, Miyagi, Akita, Yamagata and Fukushima Prefecture　
Kanto ：　Ibaraki, Tochigi, Gumma,Saitama and Chiba Prefecture, Tokyo metropolis, Kanagawa and Yamanashi Prefecture
Chubu ：　Nagano, Gifu, Shizuoka, Aichi and Mie Prefecture
Hokuriku ：　Niigata, Toyama, Ishikawa and Fukui Prefecture
Kinki ：　Shiga, Kyoto, Osaka, Hyogo, Nara and Wakayama Prefecture
Chugoku ：　Tottori, Shimane, Okayama, Hiroshima and Yamaguchi Prefecture
Shikoku ：　Tokushima, Kagawa, Ehime and Kochi Prefecture
Kyusyu･Okinawa ：　Fukuoka, Saga, Nagasaki, Kumamoto, Oita, Miyazaki, Kagoshima and Okinawa Prefecture

Reference:
Contact below for any inquires in respect of the Survey.
Mr. Kotaro Zenpo of the Research Department
e‐mail address: zenpoh@jcsc.or.jp

to page top