社団法人 日本ショッピングセンター協会

Outlook

Compared with figures for the same month last year, sales of previously established shopping centers rose 2.3% in March and remained positive for three straight months.
Despite fears of modest consumer-spending caused by the continuing tendency to switch to domestically produced foodstuffs after the food poisoning incident involving Chinese-made frozen dumplings and by successive price hikes introduced by producers, per-customer spending showed a tendency to rise.
Other positive factors were falling prices of some imported foodstuffs due to a strong performance of the yen against the dollar, thereby boosting the sales of relevant food products and the larger number of holidays (Sundays) in March compared to last year.
Classification by tenant type revealed that tenants claiming favorable results were processed foodstuffs and the food and drink businesses. As for anchor tenants' sales, sales of fresh and processed foodstuffs showed favorable results.

Notes

＊This survey has been compiled from information obtained after sampling 1,000 SC according to location and size from among 2,804 SC - the total number of SC at the end of December 2007.
＊This survey is based on the 587 SC samples obtained, the sample retrieval rate being 58.7%.
＊(Estimated) total sales of SC for March have been computed based on the total number of 2,805 SC in existence at the end of February 2008. (An increase of 43 over last year)
＊The total number of SC at the end of December 2007 reflects the omission of 44SC whose closure became known at the time of the survey carried out at the end of March 2008).

Change of Total Sales of Shopping Centers, Depart-ment Stores and Chain Stores compared with previous year

Term/Year/month (Number of SC)			S　　　　　C			Department Stores	Chain Stores
			Previously Established SC
			Total of SC	Tenants	Anchor Tenants
Year	2000	(185)	-3.4	-3.1	-3.7	-2.2	-5.1
	2001	(255)	-2.2	-1.4	-3.3	-0.4	-5.2
	2002	(328)	-2.1	-2.1	-2.1	-2.3	-2.1
	2003	(462)	-1.6	-0.8	-2.4	-2.8	-3.2
	2004	(522)	-1.7	-0.9	-2.9	-2.8	-3.5
	2005	(550)	0.3	1.5	-1.9	-0.2	-2.6
	2006	(523)	0.3	0.9	-0.7	-0.7	-2.7
	2007	(515)	-0.0	0.3	-0.6	-0.5	-1.4
2008	Jan.～Mar.	(557)	1.1	1.2	0.8	-1.0	0.4
Month 2007	Jan.	(600)	1.3	1.8	0.2	0.0	-2.4
	Feb.	(600)	1.3	1.7	0.5	1.7	-1.6
	Mar.	(572)	-1.2	-1.2	-1.0	-1.5	-1.5
	Apr.	(575)	-1.1	-0.8	-1.7	-1.3	-1.0
	May.	(556)	0.2	0.5	-0.4	-0.4	-0.6
	Jun.	(570)	2.4	3.9	-0.1	5.5	-1.5
	Jul.	(568)	-4.2	-4.4	-3.9	-4.3	-2.8
	Aug.	(570)	0.5	0.6	0.4	1.4	-0.5
	Sep.	(569)	-0.8	-0.5	-1.2	-2.5	-1.0
	Oct.	(556)	0.0	-0.1	0.3	-1.4	-1.1
	Nov.	(590)	0.7	1.1	0.0	0.9	-0.4
	Dec.	(591)	-0.8	-0.7	-1.0	-2.3	-1.8
Month 2008	Jan.	(592)	0.0	0.3	-0.5	-2.1	-1.7
	Feb.	(585)	0.8	0.4	1.4	0.9	1.9
	Mar.	(587)	2.3	2.6	1.6	-1.2	1.4
Source			Japan Council of Shopping Centers			Japan Department Stores Association	Japan Chain Stores Association

【comment】
Sales of anchor tenants increased by 1.6%, setting a record since this statistical survey started in July 2002. The main reason of favorable sales was the fall of imported food prices owing to a strong yen against the dollar.

 

Rate of Expansion in Sales of SC by Location and Type of Constituent member of SC

Constituent member of SC Location (Number of SC)			Total	Tenants	Anchor Tenants
Total		(587)	2.3	2.6	1.6
Central Areas	Large Cities	(79)	3.6	3.6	5.1
	Medium Cities	(89)	-0.5	-1.0	0.4
	Small Cities	(36)	-1.8	-0.9	-3.1
	Sub Total	(204)	1.5	1.9	0.0
Peripheral Areas		(139)	2.9	3.1	2.6
Suburban Areas		(244)	2.7	3.5	1.9

【comment】
Sales in central areas of the large cities showed a high increase of 3.6%. Especially anchor tenants' sales marked a high increase of 5.1%, thereby revealing favorable results in supermarkets and GMS dealing in foods for a second consecutive month.

(notes)

■Size of City
Large Cities ： Cities designated by government ordinance (Sapporo, Sendai, Chiba, Tokyo metropolis, Kawasaki, Yokohama, Nagoya, Kyoto, Osaka, Kobe, Hiroshima, Fukuoka, Kitakyushu)
Medium Cities ：Cities that have a population of more than 150,000, excluding above‐mentioned cities
Small Cities ：Cities that have a population of under 150,000

■Location （Divided by administrative district, but the explanation for area is tentative.）
Central Areas ：Central cities that are accumulated by commercial function of cities, towns, villages concerned
Peripheral Areas ：Areas that are around central areas and city function of commerce, administration, business, etc. exist moderately
Suburban Areas ：Areas that are in the suburbs and residential areas, farmlands, etc. are spread out

 

Rate of Expansion in Sales of SC by Location and Region

Region Location (Number of SC)		Total	Hokkaido	Tohoku	Kanto	Chubu	Hokuriku	kinki	Chugoku	Shikoku	Kyusyu・ Okinawa
Total	(587)	2.3	1.2	3.4	2.6	1.4	2.8	2.6	1.7	3.2	0.1
Central Areas	(204)	1.5	-1.4	4.3	1.7	0.6	-1.6	2.0	2.4	4.5	-0.1
Peripheral Areas	(139)	2.9	5.1	-0.2	4.4	0.4	15.4	0.7	3.4	-0.8	-1.9
Suburban Areas	(244)	2.7	2.3	3.6	2.7	2.2	1.1	3.9	0.9	2.9	1.8
Number of SC		587	17	35	204	62	45	132	30	14	48

【comment】
Sales in the Tohoku region rose for by 3.4%, and turned positive for the first time in the 19 months since August 2006. The cause was the large number of fine days and less snowfall than usual.

(notes)

■Region
Hokkaido ：　Hokkaido　
Tohoku ：　Aomori, Iwate, Miyagi, Akita, Yamagata and Fukushima Prefecture　
Kanto ：　Ibaraki, Tochigi, Gumma,Saitama and Chiba Prefecture, Tokyo metropolis, Kanagawa and Yamanashi Prefecture
Chubu ：　Nagano, Gifu, Shizuoka, Aichi and Mie Prefecture
Hokuriku ：　Niigata, Toyama, Ishikawa and Fukui Prefecture
Kinki ：　Shiga, Kyoto, Osaka, Hyogo, Nara and Wakayama Prefecture
Chugoku ：　Tottori, Shimane, Okayama, Hiroshima and Yamaguchi Prefecture
Shikoku ：　Tokushima, Kagawa, Ehime and Kochi Prefecture
Kyusyu･Okinawa ：　Fukuoka, Saga, Nagasaki, Kumamoto, Oita, Miyazaki, Kagoshima and Okinawa Prefecture

Reference:
Contact below for any inquires in respect of the Survey.
Mr. Kotaro Zenpo of the Research Department
e‐mail address: zenpoh@jcsc.or.jp

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