社団法人 日本ショッピングセンター協会

Outlook

Compared with figures for the same month last year, sales of previously established shopping centers rose 0.02% and again turned positive for the first time in two months.
In a pattern similar to last year, the mild winter led to dull sales of winter goods over the first half of January. However, shopping center events such as New Year sales in addition to renewal & closing sales, boosted overall sales figures which as a whole showed a subtle increase.
Classification by tenant type revealed that sales of women's apparel affected, negatively as well as positively, the sales of an overwhelming number of shopping centers.
Among anchor tenants, many shopping centers mentioned favorable sales of fresh foodstuffs as a positive result factor.

Notes

＊This survey has been compiled from information obtained after sampling 1,000 SC according to location and size from among 2,759 SC - the total number of SC at the end of December 2006.
＊This survey is based on the 592 SC samples obtained, the sample retrieval rate being 59.2%.
＊(Estimated) total sales of SC for January have been computed based on the total number of 2,848 SC in existence at the end of December 2007. (An increase of 89 over last year)

Change of Total Sales of Shopping Centers, Depart-ment Stores and Chain Stores compared with previous year

Term/Year/month (Number of SC)			S　　　　　C			Department Stores	Chain Stores
			Previously Established SC
			Total of SC	Tenants	Anchor Tenants
Year	2000	(185)	-3.4	-3.1	-3.7	-2.2	-5.1
	2001	(255)	-2.2	-1.4	-3.3	-0.4	-5.2
	2002	(328)	-2.1	-2.1	-2.1	-2.3	-2.1
	2003	(462)	-1.6	-0.8	-2.4	-2.8	-3.2
	2004	(522)	-1.7	-0.9	-2.9	-2.8	-3.5
	2005	(550)	0.3	1.5	-1.9	-0.2	-2.6
	2006	(523)	0.3	0.9	-0.7	-0.7	-2.7
	2007	(515)	-0.0	0.3	-0.6	-0.5	-1.4
Month 2007	Jan.	(600)	1.3	1.8	0.2	0.0	-2.4
	Feb.	(600)	1.3	1.7	0.5	1.7	-1.6
	Mar.	(572)	-1.2	-1.2	-1.0	-1.5	-1.5
	Apr.	(575)	-1.1	-0.8	-1.7	-1.3	-1.0
	May.	(556)	0.2	0.5	-0.4	-0.4	-0.6
	Jun.	(570)	2.4	3.9	-0.1	5.5	-1.5
	Jul.	(568)	-4.2	-4.4	-3.9	-4.3	-2.8
	Aug.	(570)	0.5	0.6	0.4	1.4	-0.5
	Sep.	(569)	-0.8	-0.5	-1.2	-2.5	-1.0
	Oct.	(556)	0.0	-0.1	0.3	-1.4	-1.1
	Nov.	(590)	0.7	1.1	0.0	0.9	-0.4
	Dec.	(591)	-0.8	-0.7	-1.0	-2.3	-1.8
Month 2008	Jan.	(592)	0.0	0.3	-0.5	-2.1	-1.7
Source			Japan Council of Shopping Centers			Japan Department Stores Association	Japan Chain Stores Association

【comment】
Sales of anchor tenants fell by 0.5%, staying negative for a second consecutive month. Sales of tenants were positive again for the first time in two months.

 

Rate of Expansion in Sales of SC by Location and Type of Constituent member of SC

Constituent member of SC Location (Number of SC)			Total	Tenants	Anchor Tenants
Total		(592)	0.0	0.3	-0.5
Central Areas	Large Cities	(79)	1.3	1.4	-2.0
	Medium Cities	(91)	-1.9	-2.5	-0.8
	Small Cities	(34)	-4.4	-4.4	-4.3
	Sub Total	(204)	-0.4	-0.1	-1.6
Peripheral Areas		(140)	0.7	0.7	0.6
Suburban Areas		(248)	0.1	0.6	-0.5

【comment】
Sales in central areas of the large cities increased 1.3%, remaining positive for a fourth consecutive month.
Sales in central areas of the medium and small cities were dull, and consequently the combined sales figure for all central areas fell by 0.4%.

(notes)

■Size of City
Large Cities ： Cities designated by government ordinance (Sapporo, Sendai, Chiba, Tokyo metropolis, Kawasaki, Yokohama, Nagoya, Kyoto, Osaka, Kobe, Hiroshima, Fukuoka, Kitakyushu)
Medium Cities ：Cities that have a population of more than 150,000, excluding above‐mentioned cities
Small Cities ：Cities that have a population of under 150,000

■Location （Divided by administrative district, but the explanation for area is tentative.）
Central Areas ：Central cities that are accumulated by commercial function of cities, towns, villages concerned
Peripheral Areas ：Areas that are around central areas and city function of commerce, administration, business, etc. exist moderately
Suburban Areas ：Areas that are in the suburbs and residential areas, farmlands, etc. are spread out

 

Rate of Expansion in Sales of SC by Location and Region

Region Location (Number of SC)		Total	Hokkaido	Tohoku	Kanto	Chubu	Hokuriku	kinki	Chugoku	Shikoku	Kyusyu・ Okinawa
Total	(592)	0.0	-1.9	-1.3	0.1	0.9	-2.4	-0.1	2.6	-1.0	-0.2
Central Areas	(204)	-0.4	-2.8	-1.3	-0.3	-2.2	-9.1	0.6	2.8	-1.7	0.7
Peripheral Areas	(140)	0.7	0.9	-3.9	2.9	-2.1	9.3	-1.6	1.0	-1.5	-5.5
Suburban Areas	(248)	0.1	-4.2	-0.9	-1.1	2.9	-3.1	0.1	2.6	-0.6	1.6
Number of SC		592	22	36	205	64	42	131	28	14	50

【comment】
Sales in the Kanto and Chubu regions rose 0.1% and 0.9%, turned positive and scored respectively a 0.3 point and 2.5 point improvement.

(notes)

■Region
Hokkaido ：　Hokkaido　
Tohoku ：　Aomori, Iwate, Miyagi, Akita, Yamagata and Fukushima Prefecture　
Kanto ：　Ibaraki, Tochigi, Gumma,Saitama and Chiba Prefecture, Tokyo metropolis, Kanagawa and Yamanashi Prefecture
Chubu ：　Nagano, Gifu, Shizuoka, Aichi and Mie Prefecture
Hokuriku ：　Niigata, Toyama, Ishikawa and Fukui Prefecture
Kinki ：　Shiga, Kyoto, Osaka, Hyogo, Nara and Wakayama Prefecture
Chugoku ：　Tottori, Shimane, Okayama, Hiroshima and Yamaguchi Prefecture
Shikoku ：　Tokushima, Kagawa, Ehime and Kochi Prefecture
Kyusyu･Okinawa ：　Fukuoka, Saga, Nagasaki, Kumamoto, Oita, Miyazaki, Kagoshima and Okinawa Prefecture

Reference:
Contact below for any inquires in respect of the Survey.
Mr. Kotaro Zenpo of the Research Department
e‐mail address: zenpoh@jcsc.or.jp

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