社団法人 日本ショッピングセンター協会

Outlook

Sales of previously established shopping centers fell 0.8% in December for the first time in three months when compared with figures for the same month of the previous year.
Many developers blame the drop on the unseasonal warm weather and competition from newly opened shopping centers in addition to lease termination by some tenants.
Shopping center sales for the same month of the preceding year similarly having recorded a fall of 1.0 percent due to a mild winter, the results for the December month remain bleak for a second consecutive year.
Classification by tenant type reveals most businesses claiming unfavorable results are women's apparel tenants.
Figures for anchor tenants' sales equally point to women's clothing and fresh food products as factors contributing to these unfavorable results.

Notes

＊This survey has been compiled from information obtained after sampling 1,000 SC according to location and size from among 2,759 SC - the total number of SC at the end of December 2006.
＊This survey is based on the 591 SC samples obtained, the sample retrieval rate being 59.1%.
＊(Estimated) total sales of SC for December have been computed based on the total number of 2,845 in existence at the end of November 2007. (An increase of 71 over the previous year)

Change of Total Sales of Shopping Centers, Depart-ment Stores and Chain Stores compared with previous year

Term/Year/month (Number of SC)			S　　　　　C			Department Stores	Chain Stores
			Previously Established SC
			Total of SC	Tenants	Anchor Tenants
Year	2000	(185)	-3.4	-3.1	-3.7	-2.2	-5.1
	2001	(255)	-2.2	-1.4	-3.3	-0.4	-5.2
	2002	(328)	-2.1	-2.1	-2.1	-2.3	-2.1
	2003	(462)	-1.6	-0.8	-2.4	-2.8	-3.2
	2004	(522)	-1.7	-0.9	-2.9	-2.8	-3.5
	2005	(550)	0.3	1.5	-1.9	-0.2	-2.6
	2006	(523)	0.3	0.9	-0.7	-0.7	-2.7
Month 2006	Jan.	(592)	-0.6	0.6	-2.7	-0.4	-2.5
	Feb.	(609)	0.3	1.0	-1.0	0.5	-1.7
	Mar.	(606)	3.2	4.7	0.3	2.0	-2.1
	Apr.	(604)	1.1	1.9	-0.4	-0.6	-3.3
	May.	(603)	1.3	1.9	0.4	-1.1	-3.4
	Jun.	(606)	1.1	1.7	0.2	-2.2	-2.5
	Jul.	(600)	1.4	2.3	-0.3	-1.5	-3.2
	Aug.	(601)	1.6	1.9	1.1	-0.9	-1.1
	Sep.	(602)	2.1	2.6	1.0	1.0	-1.1
	Oct.	(600)	-0.7	-0.7	-0.6	-1.9	-3.1
	Nov.	(600)	0.1	0.2	-0.2	-0.2	-2.7
	Dec.	(601)	-1.0	-0.4	-1.9	-2.3	-3.8
Month 2007	Jan.	(600)	1.3	1.8	0.2	0.0	-2.4
	Feb.	(600)	1.3	1.7	0.5	1.7	-1.6
	Mar.	(572)	-1.2	-1.2	-1.0	-1.5	-1.5
	Apr.	(575)	-1.1	-0.8	-1.7	-1.3	-1.0
	May.	(556)	0.2	0.5	-0.4	-0.4	-0.6
	Jun.	(570)	2.4	3.9	-0.1	5.5	-1.5
	Jul.	(568)	-4.2	-4.4	-3.9	-4.3	-2.8
	Aug.	(570)	0.5	0.6	0.4	1.4	-0.5
	Sep.	(569)	-0.8	-0.5	-1.2	-2.5	-1.0
	Oct.	(556)	0.0	-0.1	0.3	-1.4	-1.1
	Nov.	(590)	0.7	1.1	0.0	0.9	-0.4
	Dec.	(591)	-0.8	-0.7	-1.0	-2.3	-1.8
Source			Japan Council of Shopping Centers			Japan Department Stores Association	Japan Chain Stores Association

【comment】
Sales of anchor tenants turned negative by 1.0% for the first time in three months due to unfavorable results of women's clothing sales.

 

Rate of Expansion in Sales of SC by Location and Type of Constituent member of SC

Constituent member of SC Location (Number of SC)			Total	Tenants	Anchor Tenants
Total		(591)	-0.8	-0.7	-1.0
Central Areas	Large Cities	(78)	0.5	0.7	-4.0
	Medium Cities	(90)	-2.6	-3.7	-0.8
	Small Cities	(35)	-2.4	-3.6	-0.9
	Sub Total	(203)	-1.0	-0.9	-1.0
Peripheral Areas		(139)	0.2	0.0	0.4
Suburban Areas		(249)	-1.1	-0.8	-1.5

【comment】
Sales in central areas of large cities were up 0.5% and remained positive for a third consecutive month. Sales in peripheral areas were up 0.2% and stayed positive for a fifth consecutive month. All other areas however ended negative.

(notes)

■Size of City
Large Cities ： Cities designated by government ordinance (Sapporo, Sendai, Chiba, Tokyo metropolis, Kawasaki, Yokohama, Nagoya, Kyoto, Osaka, Kobe, Hiroshima, Fukuoka, Kitakyushu)
Medium Cities ：Cities that have a population of more than 150,000, excluding above‐mentioned cities
Small Cities ：Cities that have a population of under 150,000

■Location （Divided by administrative district, but the explanation for area is tentative.）
Central Areas ：Central cities that are accumulated by commercial function of cities, towns, villages concerned
Peripheral Areas ：Areas that are around central areas and city function of commerce, administration, business, etc. exist moderately
Suburban Areas ：Areas that are in the suburbs and residential areas, farmlands, etc. are spread out

 

Rate of Expansion in Sales of SC by Location and Region

Region Location (Number of SC)		Total	Hokkaido	Tohoku	Kanto	Chubu	Hokuriku	kinki	Chugoku	Shikoku	Kyusyu・ Okinawa
Total	(591)	-0.8	-0.6	-1.8	-0.2	-1.6	-2.8	-1.0	0.4	-1.6	-1.7
Central Areas	(203)	-1.0	0.2	-0.9	-0.4	-3.2	-8.0	-0.9	0.0	-3.7	-1.6
Peripheral Areas	(139)	0.2	-0.6	-4.5	1.9	-3.8	6.0	-0.7	-0.7	-3.4	-4.7
Suburban Areas	(249)	-1.1	-3.2	-1.7	-1.5	0.0	-3.2	-1.3	0.8	0.0	0.0
Number of SC		591	22	36	203	58	43	132	30	14	53

【comment】
The Chugoku regions were up 0.４% and recorded positive results for a fifth consecutive month. Other regions were all negative. The Tohoku and Hokuriku regions however improved their sales figure over previous month, the former recording a 0.3 points, the latter a 0.9 points improvement.

(notes)

■Region
Hokkaido ：　Hokkaido　
Tohoku ：　Aomori, Iwate, Miyagi, Akita, Yamagata and Fukushima Prefecture　
Kanto ：　Ibaraki, Tochigi, Gumma,Saitama and Chiba Prefecture, Tokyo metropolis, Kanagawa and Yamanashi Prefecture
Chubu ：　Nagano, Gifu, Shizuoka, Aichi and Mie Prefecture
Hokuriku ：　Niigata, Toyama, Ishikawa and Fukui Prefecture
Kinki ：　Shiga, Kyoto, Osaka, Hyogo, Nara and Wakayama Prefecture
Chugoku ：　Tottori, Shimane, Okayama, Hiroshima and Yamaguchi Prefecture
Shikoku ：　Tokushima, Kagawa, Ehime and Kochi Prefecture
Kyusyu･Okinawa ：　Fukuoka, Saga, Nagasaki, Kumamoto, Oita, Miyazaki, Kagoshima and Okinawa Prefecture

Reference:
Contact below for any inquires in respect of the Survey.
Mr. Kotaro Zenpo of the Research Department
e‐mail address: zenpoh@jcsc.or.jp

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