社団法人 日本ショッピングセンター協会

Outlook

Ｔotal annual sales of previously established shopping centers recorded negative figures for the first time in three years with a minus 0.04% growth for 2007 when compared with figures of the previous year for the same shopping centers.
A large number of negative factors should be attributed to the unseasonable weather conditions occurring throughout the year, notably the rainy season ending late in July, which seriously affected the demand for summer goods and resulted in a -4.2% figure, the worst drop since the -5.6% fall of February 2005
Sales in the central areas of large cities however, maintained their favorable trend with a 1.1% growth figure bolstered by the opening of 9 new shopping centers - almost twice as many as in the previous year - which also stimulated custom in other shopping centers

Notes

＊This survey has been compiled from information obtained after sampling 1,000 SC according to location and size from among 2,759 SC - the total number of SC at the end of December 2006.
＊This survey is based on samples of those 515 SC that could provide monthly sales figures for the whole year of 2007
＊(Estimated) total annual sales of SC have been computed based on the total number of 2,848 SC in existence at the end of December 2007.

Change of Total Sales of Shopping Centers, Depart-ment Stores and Chain Stores compared with previous year

Term/Year/month (Number of SC)			S　　　　　C			Department Stores	Chain Stores
			Previously Established SC
			Total of SC	Tenants	Anchor Tenants
Year	2000	(185)	-3.4	-3.1	-3.7	-2.2	-5.1
	2001	(255)	-2.2	-1.4	-3.3	-0.4	-5.2
	2002	(328)	-2.1	-2.1	-2.1	-2.3	-2.1
	2003	(462)	-1.6	-0.8	-2.4	-2.8	-3.2
	2004	(522)	-1.7	-0.9	-2.9	-2.8	-3.5
	2005	(550)	0.3	1.5	-1.9	-0.2	-2.6
	2006	(523)	0.3	0.9	-0.7	-0.7	-2.7
	2007	(515)	0.0	0.3	-0.6	-0.5	-1.4
Month 2006	Jan.	(592)	-0.6	0.6	-2.7	-0.4	-2.5
	Feb.	(609)	0.3	1.0	-1.0	0.5	-1.7
	Mar.	(606)	3.2	4.7	0.3	2.0	-2.1
	Apr.	(604)	1.1	1.9	-0.4	-0.6	-3.3
	May.	(603)	1.3	1.9	0.4	-1.1	-3.4
	Jun.	(606)	1.1	1.7	0.2	-2.2	-2.5
	Jul.	(600)	1.4	2.3	-0.3	-1.5	-3.2
	Aug.	(601)	1.6	1.9	1.1	-0.9	-1.1
	Sep.	(602)	2.1	2.6	1.0	1.0	-1.1
	Oct.	(600)	-0.7	-0.7	-0.6	-1.9	-3.1
	Nov.	(600)	0.1	0.2	-0.2	-0.2	-2.7
	Dec.	(601)	-1.0	-0.4	-1.9	-2.3	-3.8
Month 2007	Jan.	(600)	1.3	1.8	0.2	0.0	-2.4
	Feb.	(600)	1.3	1.7	0.5	1.7	-1.6
	Mar.	(572)	-1.2	-1.2	-1.0	-1.5	-1.5
	Apr.	(575)	-1.1	-0.8	-1.7	-1.3	-1.0
	May.	(556)	0.2	0.5	-0.4	-0.4	-0.6
	Jun.	(570)	2.4	3.9	-0.1	5.5	-1.5
	Jul.	(568)	-4.2	-4.4	-3.9	-4.3	-2.8
	Aug.	(570)	0.5	0.6	0.4	1.4	-0.5
	Sep.	(569)	-0.8	-0.5	-1.2	-2.5	-1.0
	Oct.	(556)	0.0	-0.1	0.3	-1.4	-1.1
	Nov.	(590)	0.7	1.1	0.0	0.9	-0.4
	Dec.	(591)	-0.8	-0.7	-1.0	-2.3	-1.8
Source			Japan Council of Shopping Centers			Japan Department Stores Association	Japan Chain Stores Association

【comment】
Sales of tenants increased 0.3%, recording positive figures for a third consecutive year. Sales of anchor tenants decreased 0.6%, marking negative figures for a sixteenth consecutive year. Although sales of anchor tenants remained negative, a tendency showing improvement of these figures has recently been noticed so that sales show a 3.3 point improvement when compared with the figures of 1997 (10 years ago).

 

Rate of Expansion in Sales of SC by Location and Type of Constituent member of SC

Constituent member of SC Location (Number of SC)			Total	Tenants	Anchor Tenants
Total		(515)	0.0	0.3	-0.6
Central Areas	Large Cities	(78)	1.1	1.1	-2.0
	Medium Cities	(81)	-1.1	-1.9	0.4
	Small Cities	(29)	-2.0	-2.1	-1.9
	Sub Total	(188)	0.0	0.1	-0.2
Peripheral Areas		(120)	1.0	1.2	0.8
Suburban Areas		(207)	-0.7	0.0	-1.3

【comment】
Although sales in central areas of large cities saw only a subtle increase of 0.03%, they remained positive for a third consecutive year. Sales in peripheral areas were up 1.0% and stayed positive for a second consecutive year. Sales in suburban areas ,however, fell 0.7%, and were negative for a fifth consecutive year.

(notes)

■Size of City
Large Cities ： Cities designated by government ordinance (Sapporo, Sendai, Chiba, Tokyo metropolis, Kawasaki, Yokohama, Nagoya, Kyoto, Osaka, Kobe, Hiroshima, Fukuoka, Kitakyushu)
Medium Cities ：Cities that have a population of more than 150,000, excluding above‐mentioned cities
Small Cities ：Cities that have a population of under 150,000

■Location （Divided by administrative district, but the explanation for area is tentative.）
Central Areas ：Central cities that are accumulated by commercial function of cities, towns, villages concerned
Peripheral Areas ：Areas that are around central areas and city function of commerce, administration, business, etc. exist moderately
Suburban Areas ：Areas that are in the suburbs and residential areas, farmlands, etc. are spread out

 

Rate of Expansion in Sales of SC by Location and Region

Region Location (Number of SC)		Total	Hokkaido	Tohoku	Kanto	Chubu	Hokuriku	kinki	Chugoku	Shikoku	Kyusyu・ Okinawa
Total	(515)	0.0	-1.7	-2.9	0.8	0.0	-3.2	-0.4	0.3	-0.4	-0.4
Central Areas	(188)	0.0	-1.7	-1.0	0.7	1.3	-7.5	-1.0	0.0	1.8	-0.7
Peripheral Areas	(120)	1.0	-1.5	-2.7	2.8	-0.6	-2.1	-0.7	0.4	-4.2	-1.1
Suburban Areas	(207)	-0.7	-1.8	-3.6	-0.7	-0.6	-1.9	0.2	0.7	-0.7	0.4
Number of SC		515	18	33	176	55	36	116	24	12	45

【comment】
The Niigata Chuetsu-oki Earthquake caused sales in central areas of the Hokuriku region to fall by a considerable -7.5% when compared with those of the previous year. Particularly affected was the city of Niigata where the disruption of regional railroad lines on the day of the earthquake also thereafter caused slow-speed traffic, thereby greatly reducing the flow of customers into the city center.

(notes)

■Region
Hokkaido ：　Hokkaido　
Tohoku ：　Aomori, Iwate, Miyagi, Akita, Yamagata and Fukushima Prefecture　
Kanto ：　Ibaraki, Tochigi, Gumma,Saitama and Chiba Prefecture, Tokyo metropolis, Kanagawa and Yamanashi Prefecture
Chubu ：　Nagano, Gifu, Shizuoka, Aichi and Mie Prefecture
Hokuriku ：　Niigata, Toyama, Ishikawa and Fukui Prefecture
Kinki ：　Shiga, Kyoto, Osaka, Hyogo, Nara and Wakayama Prefecture
Chugoku ：　Tottori, Shimane, Okayama, Hiroshima and Yamaguchi Prefecture
Shikoku ：　Tokushima, Kagawa, Ehime and Kochi Prefecture
Kyusyu･Okinawa ：　Fukuoka, Saga, Nagasaki, Kumamoto, Oita, Miyazaki, Kagoshima and Okinawa Prefecture

Reference:
Contact below for any inquires in respect of the Survey.
Mr. Kotaro Zenpo of the Research Department
e‐mail address: zenpoh@jcsc.or.jp

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